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Staff photo Hugo Morvan

Hugo Morvan

PhD student in statistics, interested in causal inference, machine learning, and their applications on large-scale register data.

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Affiliation
Doctoral student at Umeå School of Business, Economics and Statistics (USBE) Section: Statistics
Location
Samhällsvetarhuset, Biblioteksgränd 6, SAM.C.216 (A20212) Umeå universitet, 901 87 Umeå

My research is about drawing trustworthy conclusions from large observational databases. Machine learning can estimate causal effects there, but it rarely says how uncertain those estimates are, and without valid confidence intervals, results can't support reliable conclusions. I'm working to close that gap in three ways: developing confidence intervals that remain valid when machine learning handles hundreds of thousands of features, extending them to account for unobserved confounding, and making the resulting estimators as precise as possible. The goal is methods that let social and health scientists make valid causal claims from large-scale register data.